My aim in poker is to win a Sit N Go Jackpot and have total poker winnings of $50,000. Since the end of 2010 I have been recording my progress in this blog. Currently I am playing the Maui Jackpot Sit N Go games, working on ways to improve my win rate % and thus increase my chances of hitting the Jackpot. My profit total at 1st December 2015 is $26,377.
Sunday, 10 June 2012
Rio Challenge Strategy 3: Bubble Trouble
One of the hardest things to do in poker is fold when you are confident you
have the best hand. Another really tough thing to do is shove a poor
hand knowing that you will probably be called by a better hand. On the bubble in
a sit n go is these situations are commonplace and important to master. Weakness
in this area is a significant leak for many players, including me.
In Hand A we will look at the situation from the perspective of a player
with 1000 chips on the big blind with the blinds at 100-200. The other shorter
stacks fold and unsurprisingly the dominant chip leader shoves. What hands are
worth calling with here? According to ICM the answer is strong pairs only, says
nines or better. I would probably only call with Jacks or better. Ace King has
to be folded here unless you are playing specifically for first or first and
second as part of a jackpot sequence.
3500 All In
This situation becomes even more complex in the very next hand when the big
stack does not push and our player is left with a decision. This is an area I
myself struggle with. In Hand B what hands should be shoved in this spot?
3700 Fold (Would expect a shove here around 75% of the time)
ICM suggests the small blind pushes with 80% of hands and the big blind
calls with around 90% of hands. A key clash is imminent. It is the pushing range
of the player with 800 chips that interests me here as you can understand the
very likely call from the big blind. The math says you shove hands like 84
suited or 75 offsuit here. I think I am only shoving maybe 60% of my hands in
this spot, folding these weaker hands to a likely caller. This is a mistake it
would seam and something I need to work on and understand more fully. I will try
to analyse post game some real examples in the weeks to come and maybe post
about the most interesting one.
Some poker players have suggested that sit n gos are easy, robotic with few
tricky spots and not a true form of poker. But could they fold AK in hand A and
push 75 in hand B. I doubt it.
Anyway, meanwhile my Rio Challenge position is as follows after 190 games
with 60 games to play. I have fought back somewhat over the last couple of weeks
and come close to another consolation bonus.